December 8, 2022


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Afghanistan ‘is not an possibility for China, it’s a problem’: Ian Bremmer

In the immediate aftermath of Afghanistan’s collapse at the fingers of the Taliban, China squandered no time in capitalizing on what it viewed as a community relations gain. China’s Overseas Ministry known as the chaotic finish to U.S. existence, “a lesson in reckless army adventures,” and issued a statement, calling for “friendly and cooperative relations with Afghanistan.”

But, Eurasia Team President Ian Bremmer said the U.S. withdrawal from the country results in additional complications than possibilities for Beijing prolonged term.

“I imagine that China sees a propaganda prospect, in rubbing America’s nose in the point that there’s all these awful films coming out in Afghanistan and the Taliban sees that they have gained,” he stated. “But this is not a actual prospect for China, it is really a dilemma for China.”

Bremmer claimed the Taliban takeover threatens to provide a “deeply unstable and rather radical governing administration” right on China’s doorstep. Beijing has expressed particular issue that Afghanistan could oversee the resurgence of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement, a Muslim separatist group launched by militant Uyghurs.

Past Afghanistan’s borders, Beijing is anxious about the stability of other international locations bordering Afghanistan, like Pakistan. Just last month, a suicide bomber attacked a Chinese shuttle bus in a distant city north of Islamabad, killing nine Chinese employees and four other folks. That was followed by an additional bomb attack on a motorcade carrying Chinese staff, killing two local youngsters and a single Chinese national.

“If China experienced a free media, and they really don’t have everything remotely shut to it, you can expect to see above the next few several years, Afghanistan, making extra headlines in China, as it’s making considerably less headlines in the United States,” Bremmer mentioned. “That’s not a superior matter if Afghanistan is making headlines in your nation.”

Regional instability also threatens to derail China’s Belt and Highway Initiative (BRI), 1 of President Xi Jinping’s vital policies. Considering that 2013, the nation has invested far more than $200 billion in infrastructure initiatives through Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America. Pakistan has been the most significant beneficiary, with investments into the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) reportedly topping $60 billion.

While International Minister Wang Yi has expressed fascination in growing CPEC to Afghanistan, Bremmer reported the lack of BRI successes is likely to reduce the place from starting to be a huge investment precedence for China.

“China has their own domestic priorities that are a lot a lot more significant in terms of what they want to invest their funds on. And the investments they’ve now manufactured in Afghanistan in copper mines for illustration and other significant infrastructure, have not paid out off effectively,” Bremmer claimed.

Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi meets with Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, political chief of Afghanistan's Taliban, in north China's Tianjin, July 28, 2021. (Photo by Li Ran/Xinhua via Getty Images)

Chinese Condition Councilor and International Minister Wang Yi meets with Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, political main of Afghanistan’s Taliban, in north China’s Tianjin, July 28, 2021. (Photograph by Li Ran/Xinhua by using Getty Visuals)

Beijing has taken a pragmatic strategy to the Taliban so much, expressing a wish for “welcoming and cooperative relations” with Afghanistan. Just months ahead of the slide of Kabul, China invited Taliban leaders to satisfy with the Foreign Minister in Beijing, in its most community goodwill gesture in direction of the militant group.

Taliban co-founder Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar reciprocated by reiterating a pledge to go away Chinese pursuits in Afghanistan alone, indicating the group would not permit extremist groups to use the region as a staging floor to attack China.

Akiko Fujita is an anchor and reporter for Yahoo Finance. Observe her on Twitter @AkikoFujita

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